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Marcin Tybura vs. Jhonata Diniz Pick, 11/16/2024 UFC 309 Odds Predictions

Marcin Tybura vs. Jhonata Diniz

UFC309

Madison Square Garden in New York

Saturday November 16, 2024

Marcin Tybura will take on Jhonata Diniz at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. On the moneyline, Tybura is priced at -130, while Diniz is priced at +110.

Marcin “Tybur” Tybura comes into this fight with a score of 25-9-0. The 39-year-old weighs 249 pounds and stands at 6’3″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78″. Jhonata Diniz is 6 feet tall and weighs 254 pounds. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach by 79 inches. In terms of significant strikes, Marcin Tybura lands 3.57 per minute, while Jhonata Diniz connects with 4.09 significant strikes per minute. Tybura connects on 48% of the significant strikes he throws, while Diniz connects on 53%. In terms of fighter defense, “Tybur” allows 3.34 significant attacks per minute, while Diniz allows 2.75. Tybura also defends 55% of significant attacks aimed at him, while Diniz prevents 55% of shots in his direction.

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UFC309 Marcin Tybura Jonata Diniz
Opening odds -130 +110
File 25-9-0 8-0-0
Average battle time 11:07 8:29
Height 6’3″ 6’4″
Weight £249 254 pounds
Range 78″ 79″
Strokes per minute 3.57 4.09
Remarkable accuracy 48% 53%

In the takedown category, Marcin Tybura is the more experienced wrestler, as he averages a takedown of 1.42 times per 3rds. Tybura gets his opponent to the mat on 33% of his attempts and stops 77% of the takedowns his opponents have attempted. Diniz finishes his takedowns on 15% of his takedown attempts and completes 70% of all his opponents’ takedowns. As for going for the sub, Tybura is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.1 subs per 3rd, while Diniz attempts 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Marcin Tybura took on Serghei Spivac and suffered a loss that night via bottom guard armbar in round 1. Spivac ended up landing 8 of the 11 of the punches he landed in total for this match. Tybura ended the evening with 9 of a total of 18 hits. In terms of significant strikes, Spivac scored 3 out of 5, giving him a 60% percentage. He ultimately landed two of four significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other hand, Tybura landed 0% of his significant strikes by stabbing 0 out of 4. Of all the significant blows thrown, 0 out of 2 were aimed at the head. 100% of Spivac’s significant attacks and 33% of Tybura’s attacks were counted from a distance.

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In the final fight for Jhonata Diniz, he took on Karl Williams and ultimately emerged victorious by unanimous decision in round 3. Williams ultimately landed 86% of the significant strikes he attempted from range and Diniz ultimately landed 98%. of the important attacks he carried out from a distance. Diniz ultimately landed 57% of the significant strikes he attempted, landing 59 of 103. He connected on 32 of 75 significant strikes to the head. Williams ultimately scored 29 of the 84 important goals in that match. Of all the important attacks, he ultimately landed 22 of 74 aimed at the head. Relative to total strikes thrown, Williams was 49 of 120, while Diniz made 63 of 107 of all strikes thrown.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Mickey Gall takes on Ramiz Brahimaj. Gall comes into this fight with a mark of 7-6-0. The 32-year-old registers a weight of 170 lbs and stands at 6’2″. The switch fighter has an arm span of 74″. Brahimaj measures 6-foot-1 and weighs 170 pounds. The orthodox fighter has a record of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach by 72 inches. When it comes to wrestling, Mickey Gall takes down his opponents 1.18 times per 3rd and Ramiz Brahimaj can score a takedown 1.61 times per 3rd. When it comes to hitting, Gall averages 3.33 strikes/min and connects on 48% of the strikes he throws. The other fighter in this fight is Ramiz Brahimaj, who connects on 41% of the punches he has thrown and lands 1.74 per minute.

If you’re going to attend the fights, don’t miss when Oban Elliott takes on Bassil Hafez. Hafez walks into the cage with a record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old weighs 170 pounds and stands 6-foot-4. The Orthodox fighter is 72″. Elliott comes in at 6-foot-4 and registers a weight of 170 pounds. The Orthodox fighter enters the Octagon with a record of 11-2-0. The 26-year-old expands his range at 72 inch. In terms of wrestling, Bassil Hafez prevents 50% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and takes his opponents to the mat 24% of the time. Elliott takes his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and fends off 72% of all takedown attempts. In terms of striking, Hafez lands 4.23 per minute, while Elliott lands 2.24 strikes per minute and lands 3.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink’s pick: take Jhonata Diniz (+110)

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