Biden vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. Polls

On May 2, 2024By Vaseline

Trump has a lead of 0.6% based on 137 polls.

Estimation

95% of polls fall within this range

A little background… As voters have turned negative toward Joe Biden and Donald Trump over the past four years, many have wondered whether third-party candidates will perform stronger than in previous elections. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign introduces a compelling three-way battle against incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. This unique configuration is testing American political loyalty as voters consider a broader spectrum of options for the country’s leadership, similar to 2016.

The polls for the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections are based on an analysis by the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), which compares actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight’s Generic Ballot polling average to the adjusted U.S. House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show The Intern.” His presidency was notable for his non-traditional, often controversial approach and prioritization of America-first policies. impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted by the Senate both times.

Joe Biden is an American politician and member of the Democratic Party, serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as vice president under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. He previously represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, where he held that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden’s extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice and civil rights.

RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, the former US Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-rooted connection to American politics. However, he has focused his career on environmental protection and co-founded the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often courted controversy, especially with his outspoken skepticism toward vaccines.